However, experts warn that it is advisable to refrain from premature conclusions about the duration of this trend. The price decrease is temporary, caused by seasonal lulls and short-term changes in international markets, rather than a sustainable improvement in the situation.
The main risk remains the complicated situation in Russia, which is a key supplier of fuel for Kyrgyzstan. Currently, the Russian oil products market is experiencing significant difficulties: due to technical malfunctions and external attacks, more than a third of refining capacities (about 30-38%) are not operational. This circumstance has led to a sharp spike in prices on the exchange, which exceeded 80,000 rubles per ton in 2025. To cope with the shortage affecting many Russian regions, the authorities in Moscow were forced to ban exports and start purchasing gasoline from Belarus and Asia.
Although no restrictions on supplies to Kyrgyzstan have been introduced at this time, the unstable situation in Russia poses potential threats to our market in the medium term. Any reduction in production in the Russian Federation directly affects the availability of imports.
Nevertheless, as of today, Kyrgyz suppliers are successfully managing the situation. Thanks to the reserves created and a flexible procurement strategy, there is no fuel shortage in the country, and consumers can observe lower prices at gas stations. However, experts caution that this "price pause" may end immediately after an increase in seasonal demand or if the situation at Russian plants does not improve.
