Kaktus.media analyzed the list of new deputies. The results show that the typical deputy of the Jogorku Kenesh differs from the candidates and from the previous elections in 2021. However, the renewal of the parliamentary composition can be considered minimal.
Degree of Renewal of Parliament
98 former and current deputies participated in the elections, among them 79 parliamentarians from the group that announced its self-dissolution. As a result, more than half of them received mandates again: six deputies from the V-VI convocations and 49 from the VII convocation.If two men win in the district, a woman will be awarded the third mandate. Similarly, if two women win, the mandate will go to a man. This probability is conditioned by the fact that in five districts there were more women than men.
However, the presence of a gender quota is not the only factor contributing to women's entry into the Jogorku Kenesh. Notably, in almost a third of the districts, women entered the top three in the voting.
They would have received their mandates even without legislative support:
- Kamila Talieva (electoral district No. 1);
- Burun Amanova (electoral district No. 2);
- Aigul Akhmedova (electoral district No. 5);
- Venera Salyamova (electoral district No. 11);
- Medina Kairylbekova (electoral district No. 16);
- Elvira Surabaldiyeva (electoral district No. 23);
- Gulkan Moldobekova (electoral district No. 27);
- Rahat Junushbaeva (electoral district No. 28);
- Gulsunkhan Junushalieva (electoral district No. 29).
It is noteworthy that one of the women who entered parliament, Kamila Talieva, won the repeat elections in the Pervomaisky district, becoming the only one who entered parliament without a gender quota and party list, winning in a single-mandate district.
In the previous elections, female candidates mainly received mandates due to the existing gender quota. This time, only in seven districts did women who received mandates under the gender quota not make it into the top five in the voting.
Youth Composition of Parliament
In these elections, the youth quota was not in effect, which led to the absence of candidates under 30 years old. However, according to the voting results, the average age of deputies of the VIII convocation turned out to be slightly lower than that of the candidates. It is one year older than in 2021 and three years older compared to 2020.When examining the lists of candidates for deputies, it was found that the majority of those wishing to enter parliament are former deputies. Their number exceeded the number of seats in the Jogorku Kenesh. Has this changed with the change in voting? No, most seats will again be occupied by deputies from previous convocations.
It is also important to note that in addition to 55 former deputies, 7 deputies from local keneshes entered parliament. Thus, there will be 62 former deputies in parliament, which constitutes almost 69% of the total number. The remaining mandates went to those who are not officially employed, are engaged in business, or work in the private sector.
This also distinguishes the current elections from those in 2021, when most seats were occupied by people officially classified as unemployed.
Our analysis is based on preliminary election results. The final results will be announced by December 14. However, it is likely that the main data will not change, and in the coming years, the legislative activity will be carried out by almost the same people as before.