According to the agency's data, Bilal Erdogan is becoming a more prominent figure in society: his activities are actively covered by state media, and the president increasingly takes him along on foreign trips. Bloomberg notes that Bilal is receiving unofficial training for a political career and is involved in personnel decisions within the party and government.
However, sources emphasize that the success of these political moves is not guaranteed. At the same time, the internal and external conditions for Erdogan appear to be more favorable: Turkey is strengthening its influence on the international stage—from Syria to Somalia—while the president maintains strong ties with U.S. President Donald Trump and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Despite harsh measures against the opposition, the authorities have not suffered significant political losses.
As Bloomberg points out, the main risk for Erdogan remains the "cost of living crisis," which could negatively impact voter support, including among millions of pensioners. Although inflation still exceeds 30%, it is gradually slowing down, which could improve consumer sentiment and influence the results of the upcoming elections, analysts at Bloomberg Economics believe.
The fate of the peace process with the Kurds also remains a source of uncertainty. If Erdogan succeeds in this direction, he will be able to present the resolution of the conflict as a significant achievement, while failure could push the authorities towards harsh measures to mobilize nationalist-minded voters.
