Kyrgyzstan Prepares for Protests? Analysis of the Parliamentary Election Results

Юлия Воробьева Local news
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The well-known Russian blogger Mikhail Zvinchuk began discussing the parliamentary elections in Kyrgyzstan on his Telegram channel with the statement: “Protests are being prepared in Kyrgyzstan” (an investigation by 24.kg about it is available here).

However, as the election results and expert opinions have shown, many predictions turned out to be far from reality, and Zvinchuk's conclusions do not correspond to the actual situation in Kyrgyzstan.

The reasons for such discrepancies lie not only in the insufficient qualifications of some commentators but also in attempts to create an artificial crisis in order to sell their services to both the Russian and Kyrgyz sides.

In practice, the analysis of the voting results in the Jogorku Kenesh can be summarized in a few simple conclusions:


According to preliminary data, about 50 out of 90 deputies (approximately 55 percent) are returnees from the previous convocation who received mandates in new districts.
This indicates that there have been no mass changes in the political elite, and many old politicians have remained in their places.
Some new faces also emerged among the winners, but their number is small and rather represents an exception. Most of the so-called "nonames" (which means "little-known" - Ed. 24.kg) are in one way or another connected with the current elites. Thus, the new parliament can be characterized as partially renewed but largely inherited.

This is neither a positive nor a negative aspect. Most voters, as confirmed by the low turnout in the elections, approached them with indifference. The elections are not perceived by them as an important event affecting the fate of the country and each citizen, as the parliament has long ceased to be the center of political life. Key decisions are made not by deputies, and this is well known. In modern conditions, parliamentary elections in Kyrgyzstan resemble a political show rather than a serious process.
Perhaps this attitude towards the parliament will change, and citizens will begin to seek solutions to their problems not only from the top of power but also from the deputies of their districts.
As for the parties, these elections effectively marked the end of their existence.

However, the "death" of political organizations did not happen instantly. We are currently witnessing the final act of this "drama." Although, in essence, such an outcome was predictable, as political parties in Kyrgyzstan have never been true institutions with clear ideologies and values. Rather, they were interest groups aiming to get into parliament. Therefore, even party leaders, discussing their past, do so without particular regret.
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