The bout will be held in the welterweight category (up to 77 kg).
Fighter Statistics
Myktybek Oralbai Uulu:
- 17 fights held;
- Wins: 14 (6 by knockout, 6 by submission, 2 by decision);
- Losses: 2 (both by decision);
- 1 draw.
The majority of Myktybek's victories have come by stoppage. His last fight took place on June 21, where he won against Tofig Musaev from Azerbaijan, securing a victory in the first round via submission.
Jack Hermansson:
- 33 fights held;
- Wins: 24 (11 by knockout, 6 by submission, 7 by decision);
- Losses: 9 (4 by knockout, 2 by submission, 3 by decision).
In his recent fights, Hermansson has more frequently won by points. The last time he achieved a stoppage victory was in 2020. In his most recent bout on June 28, the Swede suffered a defeat, getting knocked out.
Anthropometric Data
- Myktybek Oralbai Uulu — height 178 cm, reach 187.9 cm;
- Jack Hermansson — height 185 cm, reach 197 cm.
The Swede has a clear advantage in size and reach. He has also previously competed in the middleweight category (up to 84 kg), which gives him an additional advantage in mass. It is likely that on fight day he will weigh more than the Kyrgyzstani.
Striking Technical Skills
Oralbai Uulu is a right-handed fighter with quick footwork and high hand speed. Although he is capable of delivering powerful strikes, he sometimes gets hit during entries or exits from clinches. However, he excels at counterattacks, choosing the right moment and distance.
He primarily uses leg strikes for low kicks to slow down his opponent or disrupt their rhythm, rather than as a main method of inflicting damage.
In contrast, Hermansson does not exhibit high-level striking technique — his style is more chaotic but varied: he attacks at different levels — head, body, legs, combining strikes. However, he struggles with distance control and often finds himself against the cage under pressure, as was evident in his fights with Gregory Rodriguez and Sean Strickland.
Wrestling Skills and Ground Game
Oralbai Uulu has a solid wrestling base. He frequently executes takedowns against the cage, preferring sweeps over classic takedowns. In the UFC, he has only been taken down once, and that was in a fight against Mateusz Rebecki when he was rocked.
Hermansson uses wrestling mainly for defense when he is under pressure in striking. If he manages to secure a dominant position, he can effectively strike on the ground; however, this is not easy against strong opponents.
His recent match with Khamzat Chimaev (2022) showed that the Swede is not always able to defend against takedowns, revealing vulnerabilities in his technique.
To improve his wrestling skills, Myktybek is currently training in Dagestan.
Endurance
Oralbai Uulu has never had issues with cardio. Even while taking strikes, he maintains a high pace, which was particularly evident in his fights against Rebecki and Elvis Brenner, where he was able to increase his output in the third round. In 2019, before joining the UFC, he completed a five-round distance without slowing down.
Hermansson is also known for his excellent endurance, consistently enduring 5-round bouts while still being able to attack and defend even after intense exchanges on the ground.
Experience and Age
In this aspect, Hermansson is significantly ahead:
- Professional career since 2010;
- Former champion of Cage Warrior FC and Warrior Fight Series;
- In the UFC since 2016, ranked 6th among the best middleweights in the world.
The Kyrgyzstani began his professional career in 2018 and made his UFC debut only in 2023.
However, in this regard, age does not favor Hermansson: he is 37 years old, while Myktybek is only 27. This means that the Kyrgyzstani is in a phase of active growth and development, while the Swede is gradually losing his form.
Weight Preparation
For Myktybek, the new weight category is more comfortable — he will not have to cut a lot of weight, allowing him to enter the cage in optimal physical condition. Hermansson, on the other hand, will need to cut more weight, which could negatively affect his recovery and reaction speed.
Fight Prediction
Jack Hermansson will be the most experienced and larger opponent Myktybek has faced. His height and reach could create difficulties for the Kyrgyzstani in striking. Hermansson's chaotic style makes the fight unpredictable, and for victory, Oralbai Uulu must act cautiously, capitalizing on his opponent's mistakes and counterattacks.
Although Myktybek is technically stronger in wrestling, his opponent's physical superiority may make it difficult for him to maintain dominant positions and execute submissions.
Considering age, endurance, and tactical flexibility, Oralbai Uulu has a chance to win by decision. However, the upcoming fight promises to be challenging and will require maximum concentration from the Kyrgyz fighter.
Fight Outcome
Probable victory for Myktybek Oralbai Uulu by unanimous or split decision of the judges.
