Ocean warming reduces fish biomass by nearly 20% each year, study finds

Сергей Мацера Ecology
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According to a study conducted by scientists from the National Museum of Natural Sciences in Spain and the National University of Colombia, chronic ocean warming is causing a sustained decline in fish biomass of up to 19.8% per year. This research covers extensive water areas, including the Mediterranean Sea, the North Atlantic, and the northeastern Pacific Ocean, based on the analysis of over 700,000 biomass estimates derived from data on nearly 34,000 fish populations from 1993 to 2021.

During their work, the scientists also discovered an interesting paradox: marine heat waves in cold regions can temporarily increase fish biomass by 176%, whereas in warm waters, similar conditions lead to a sharp reduction in biomass of up to 43.4%. The authors warn that such temporary growth may create a false sense of security: if fishing quotas are increased based on short-term spikes in population numbers, the populations may face a sharp decline when temperatures return to previous levels or the long-term warming trend continues.

The scientists strongly recommend revising existing methods of managing fish resources. They highlight three key changes: the introduction of emergency protective measures during sharp temperature fluctuations, consideration of long-term trends in biomass reduction when planning quotas, and the necessity for international coordination, as fish populations move across borders in search of comfortable temperatures. According to the authors, static national management models are not suited to the conditions of a changing climate.
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