According to expert data, the average annual growth of electricity consumption in Central Asia from 2014 to 2024 was 3.2 percent. It is projected that by 2030, demand in the region will increase by 40 percent — from 270 to 370 billion kilowatt-hours per year.
Kyrgyzstan faces the problem of dependence on the hydropower system. In conditions of water scarcity, especially during the winter period, this leads to a decrease in electricity production and the emergence of shortages.
Domestic electricity consumption also shows steady growth, increasing from 15.5 to 19.3 billion kilowatt-hours in recent years, and is expected to exceed 21 billion kilowatt-hours by 2030.
Additional load factors include urbanization, industrial development, mining, data centers, and the increasing number of electric vehicles.
The EDB emphasizes that the energy infrastructure of the region is outdated, and current capacities are insufficient. To meet the growing demand by 2035, new generating facilities will need to be constructed.
Experts warn that without modernization of the energy sector and diversification of generation sources, the likelihood of supply disruptions will only increase.
