How the "shot-down pilots" wanted early elections

Сергей Мацера Analytics / Exclusive
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How the 'downed pilots' wanted early elections



In the past week, events in the political sphere of Kyrgyzstan have developed so rapidly that even members of parliament barely managed to keep up. The resignation of the head of the State National Security Committee, the departure of the Speaker of the Jogorku Kenesh, and other significant personnel changes have caused serious concern in society. The streams of information coming through social media are often contradictory and filled with rumors, complicating the understanding of what is happening.

The main trigger for these events was a statement by 75 prominent individuals who attempted to impose the idea of urgent presidential elections on society. They presented their interpretation of constitutional norms and began to insist that there is a risk of doubts about the legitimacy of power when disagreements arise over the terms of the president's mandate.

The intrigue intensified when it became known that a group, dubbed the "downed pilots" thanks to Edil Baysalov, was acting under the cover of Kamchybek Tashiev. In his name, they called on deputies and public figures to support their appeal, creating tension and posing the question: "Whose side are you on?". This caused discontent among the elites and provoked internal divisions, which also reflected on public opinion. The State National Security Committee, it seems, did not respond to the events, despite speculation surrounding the head of the agency.

The mistake of the "activists" was that they began to pit the president against the former head of the State National Security Committee. Moreover, this allowed external enemies to take advantage of the situation to launch a wave of fakes and rumors. Materials undermining stability in the country appeared in the foreign press. Although the influence of external factors should not be underestimated, they are actively trying to destabilize the situation in the region.

In the context of growing tension, the president had to take measures to prevent a split in society. This led to resignations and personnel reshuffles that initially caused confusion among citizens.

At that time, Vice Prime Minister Edil Baysalov explained: "Some irresponsible elements, hiding behind the name of the people's general, are trying to stir up the situation, promoting their interests and creating an atmosphere of misunderstanding and conflict. They undermine stability, and there have been talks in society about dual power and the need for early elections."

He also emphasized that there are no legal grounds for holding early elections, and the disagreements in the interpretations of the Constitution are unfounded. Many experts share this opinion.

It is important to note that during this period, the election campaign distracts public attention, while the implementation of international projects and investments may slow down. Experts are asking: "Who needs this when the country is moving forward and developing?"

Political scientist Edil Marlis uulu believes that the artificially created disputes over the terms of the president's mandate could be part of a plan to destabilize. "This situation can be used by both internal and external forces interested in destabilizing the region," he noted.

In response to the situation, the president initiated telephone negotiations with the heads of neighboring states. Kyrgyzstan is currently at a stage of active development, with important projects being implemented, such as the construction of the Kambar-Ata-1 hydroelectric power station and the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway.

Halting these processes as a result of destabilization could lead to negative consequences, and the people must realize this to prevent various groups from rocking the boat," Edil Marlis uulu added.

In this context, experts note that the "75 signatories" initially did not intend to engage in constructive political dialogue, and their actions became a challenge to the authorities. The president, in turn, appealed to the Constitutional Court to resolve the issue of the timing of the elections legally.

Political scientist Bakytbek Jumagulov emphasizes the importance of resolving issues not at the level of political pressure, but within the framework of the law, through the Constitutional Court, which is designed to resolve such conflicts.

The sooner a clear legal clarification is provided, the less likely it is that this issue will become a tool for politicization during the election period.

The Constitutional Court is expected to make a decision on President Sadyr Japarov's appeal on February 17, which should clarify the situation regarding the elections in Kyrgyzstan.

Meanwhile, the most active signatories of the appeals are already giving testimonies about who might have organized their actions and what motives drive them. The Ministry of Internal Affairs has initiated a criminal case under the article "Mass Riots," and now we must wait for the results of the investigation.
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